Many times in our career, business, or life we experience unexpected events or twists in the road that catch us off guard. A big client pulls their business at a critical time, we find ourselves displaced from our job due to restructuring or cost savings, or we have a personal event that shakes the foundation of our comfortable lives. Most of the time when these events happen we shake our heads and wonder at the incredible surprise and chalk it up to "one of those things you just can't predict".
The reality though is though that in many of those cases the road signs have been there all along warning us of the coming event, but we've been ignoring them either hoping they would be wrong or believing through our confirmation bias that things were actually going to turn the corner and the inevitable wouldn't happen.
If history repeats itself, and the unexpected always happens, how incapable must Man be of learning...